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Consequences of weather and climate changes for
marine and freshwater ecosystems - Conceptual and operational
forecasting of the aquatic environment

Transport of sediment and nutrients to the marine areas

As a part of the future climate the frequency of extreme rainfall is most likely (with the present climate model runs) to increase, and hence, river discharges are most likely to increase. Workpackages 2, with Institute of Geography as WP holder, will asses how this among other thing will affect the transport of sediment and nutrients to the marine areas. These results will be included in the Waterforecast model operated at DHI, and the affected area will be identified and effects evaluated.

As an example of this DHI included the increase river discharge from river Elbe after the flooding in year 2002 – the flooding where e.g. Dresden experiences sever problems.

River Plume on August 20, August 30 and September 8, 2002 modelled using the Waterforecast Model www.waterforecast.com
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